IMF Regional Economic Outlook for Asia and the Pacific, 2020


The Asia and Pacific region is also starting to recover tentatively, but at different speeds. The outlook varies by country depending on infection rates and containment measures, the scale and effectiveness of the policy response, reliance on contact-intensive activities, and reliance on external demand. In parts of Asia where virus transmission rates are low, mobility and activity could normalize faster than elsewhere. Scarring is likely, however, as labor market participation has fallen, and output is expected to remain below pre-pandemic trends over the medium term, with the most vulnerable in society likely to be hit the hardest.  The forecasts remain highly uncertain, with significant downside risks.